How Weight Loss Drugs Affect Demand


With KFF reporting that one in eight adults takes a weight loss drug like Ozempic, Wegovy, or Zepbound, we can expect changes in household food spending.

More women than men take the medication with the percents rising for 50-64-year-olds:

weight loss drugs

At home, within six months, households using a weight loss medication reduced grocery spending by 5.3% while high income households spent a whopping 8% less. The items that disappeared from the pantry included snacks, baked goods, and even (counterintuitively) we ate fewer eggs, and less bread and meat. By contrast, yogurt sales rose the most. But then, after a year, spending starts to rise again.

Weight Loss Drugs’ Impact

Far beyond grocery stores, weight loss drugs have had a less obvious impact.

Brides

Closer to their wedding date, brides are losing a lot of weight. In a pre-weight loss drug world, dress shopping started 5 to 6 months before the wedding. Now, that timing has shrunk to 45 days. As a result, bridal dress stores need more last-minute gown fittings, more inventory, more overtime work, and extra rush orders. Some have also asked customers to sign legal waivers saying their dress did not fit when first ordered.

Fashion Inventory

Seeing an uptick in demand for smaller size clothing, retailers say that planning future inventory has become tougher. But they are enjoying new sales from the consumers that are replacing their wardrobes more frequently.

Airlines

According to a recent study from Jefferies, the four major airlines–Southwest, American, United, Delta–together could save $580 million annually on fuel because of lighter loads. With fuel 20% of their annual expenses, we are looking at 1.5% of the total. Not as small as it seems, the savings could be $577 million. Especially now, with airlines’ fuel costs soaring, an offset would be meaningful.

Our Bottom Line: Externalities

Defined as the impact of an activity or contract on a third unrelated party, an externality can be positive or negative. The perfect example of a positive externality is the ripple impact of vaccines. When one person gets vaccinated, she prevents many she does not even know from getting sick. As for the negatives, air pollution has the opposite spillover when the byproduct of a factory is the dirty air that activates a distant person’s asthma.

For weight loss drugs, the list of externalities is unending. They take us to how we feel, what we eat, what we wear, the furniture we buy, the stocks we own.

My sources and more: Thanks to WSJ for inspiring today’s post and the NY Times for its airline example. From there, we returned to our 2023 econlife post. Meanwhile CNBC, the Retail Insight Network, and the Cornell Chronicle described how spending changed. And the KFF study documented usage.

Please note that several of today’s sentences were in a past econlife post.



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Virtually every new SUV will depreciate in value over its life as the miles rack up and components start to wear out. However, some of them depreciate much faster than others. At one end of the spectrum, there are some models from the likes of Cadillac, Tesla, and Infiniti, all of which can lose close to two-thirds of their value after just half a decade on the road. That makes them some of the worst-depreciating SUVs on the market. At the other end, there are SUVs like the Toyota Land Cruiser.

The exact resale value of any used car will depend on factors like its trim, condition, and mileage, but on average, Land Cruiser owners can expect a higher trade-in value than most rivals will fetch. According to data from CarEdge, a new Land Cruiser can be expected to lose around 35% of its original value after five years on the road, assuming it covers around 13,500 miles annually.

Estimates from iSeeCars make for equally encouraging reading for Land Cruiser owners, with the outlet estimating that after five years, a new example will lose just 34.4% of its sticker price. Even after seven years on the road, iSeeCars estimates that the average Land Cruiser will still be worth a little over half of what buyers originally paid for it.

The Land Cruiser holds its value well

The estimate from iSeeCars puts the Land Cruiser slightly ahead of average for value retention in the large hybrid SUV segment, and significantly ahead of the overall market average for new SUVs. According to the same data, the average new SUV can expect to lose 44.9% of its value over the same period, over 10% more than the Land Cruiser. That said, a different Toyota SUV is forecast to retain even more of its value.

Since the 2025 model year, both the Land Cruiser and the 4Runner have shared their platform and hybrid powertrains. However, according to current estimates, the 4Runner is the clear winner when it comes to resale value. Data from iSeeCars forecasts that a new, non-hybrid 4Runner is likely to lose only 25.4% of its value after its first five years, and CarEdge predicts almost exactly the same figure. According to the former outlet, a hybrid 4Runner will lose slightly more of its value over the same timeframe, shedding 28.6% on average.

While the 4Runner is the better choice purely for value retention, that only forms part of the equation for most buyers. The Land Cruiser remains appealing thanks to its mix of off-road capability and on-road refinement, with even the base 2026 trim offering plenty of standard features, despite missing out on the luxuries that higher trims include.





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